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What just happened in Russia?

Putin and the failed coup leader Prigozhin are two peas in the same pod


27/06/2023

Putin and Prigozhin meeting at food catering business

The oligarch Yevgeny Prigozhin who founded the armed mercenary group called ‘Wagner”, is today’s Coriolanus. Similar to that Roman general in an arrogant hubris fueling a spectacular change of direction, he now only awaits his own murder. As Ukrainian Mykhailo Podolyak (adviser to President Zelensky) said, “you almost nullified Putin, took control of the central authorities, reached Moscow and suddenly… you retreat. Because one very specific intermediary with a dubious reputation (Lukashenko) promised security guarantees from the person (Putin) who ordered to destroy you in the morning“.

A recap of events

Although Prigozhin never directly called for the overthrow of Putin himself, just his Head of Defence Sergei Shoigu, the “Wagner” group’s actions were a missile aimed at Putin’s regime. Prigozhin seized military installations at Rostock-on-Don. Wagner armoured columns and troops then rolled down the M-4 motorway towards Moscow. In short – an attempted coup. Putin fled Moscow on his presidential jet. But within 200 km (125 miles) of Moscow, the armed threat was defused. What happened?

The Belarus Republic President Aleksandr G. Lukashenko, offered asylum of sorts to Prigozhin. Simultaneously Kremlin spokesman, Dmitri S. Peskov assured Prigozhin that:

“the criminal case against… Prigozhin, would be dropped. Prigozhin will go to Belarus, Peskov said, and the fighters who rebelled with him would not be prosecuted by law given their “service at the front.” Wagner fighters who did not participate in the mutiny can sign contracts with the Russian Ministry of Defense, he said.” 

At last reporting the armoured column was turned back, and the Wagner occupation of Rostov-on-Don (the jump-off point for munitions and Russian troops) against Ukraine was ended:

“Wagner armored vehicles began leaving the military hub of Rostov-on-Don, in southwestern Russia, on Saturday night..The fighters’ departure from Rostov, whose occupation sent an image of strength, added credibility to the deal apparently reached in talks with the Belarusian leader.” NYT 24 June, 2023

Perhaps the last word of the news roundup goes to President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine and his message on Twitter that “today, the world saw that the bosses of Russia do not control anything.” 

How can Marxists understand these events?

Putin’s passage to power arose out of the slow destruction of the socialist USSR by the Soviet leaders Khruschev, Bulganin and then Brezhnev, and the turbulent and rapid changes of the post-collapse period. Through the 1950s to the 1980s, successive Soviet leaders created a state capitalist enterprise favouring domestic heavy industrialists. However, in the post-Gorbachev era when rapid privatisation was enacted on Russian industry, these same Russian state capitalists were enormously weakened. American capital was allowed entry and stripped previously state-owned resources to their delight. But this spurred national Russian capital to take back control and are the foundation of Putin’s political support.

In the 1990s into the 2000 and beyond, criminal gang activities took over vital parts of financial institutions, seizure of State assets and corrupt governing bodies – particularly from Leningrad (Saint Petersburg). This was Putin’s domain. From recently acquired political office he delegitimized Chechenya’s national aspirations as terrorism in the late-1990s. This justified his murderous rampages engineering false-flag explosions in Moscow, and the brutal war in Chechnya.  This enabled his militarized hold that finally established the oligarchic regime in Russia.

Russia under Putin is characterized as “a hyper-nationalist neo-imperialist state… Putin himself is an oligarch and a ruthless imperialist.” If Putin was initially just one hyena amongst others feeding off the carcass of the former USSR – he rapidly extinguished most others. Including Mikhail Khodorovsky, and Alexei Navalny.

Who is Yevgeny V. Prigozhin?

Prigozhin is a Russian businessman who until recently was a close associate of Putin. Born in 1961 in then Leningrad, Mr. Prigozhin was imprisoned in 1981 for robbery amongst other crimes. After serving nine years, he “opened a hot-dog stand, eventually leading to an entrepreneurial career starting restaurants and convenience stores.” NYT June 23, 2023 

Prigozhin was labelled:

Putin’s chef” because of his catering business, which has staged elaborate state banquets for Mr. Putin” . 

But he came more to prominence when he formed the mercenary group “Wagner”. This first saw prominence during the 2014 annexation of the Crimea by Russia:

“The entity first emerged in 2014, during Russia’s annexation of Crimea. The U.S. government has said that the organization is financed by Yevgeny V. Prigozhin, The group reportedly took its name from the nom de guerre of its leader, Dmitry Utkin, a retired Russian military officer. Mr. Utkin is said to have chosen Wagner to honor the composer, who was a favorite of Hitler’s. Despite the Kremlin’s denial of any ties to Wagner, Mr. Utkin has been photographed next to Mr. Putin.” NYT March 31, 2022

After that the Wagner mercenaries were used as an extension of the Russian state arm overseas. It enabled a plausible deniability of Russian imperialist brutality and extra-judicial murders in Syria and elsewhere, especially in Africa (NYT March 31, 2022): 

“In addition to their involvement in Syria, Libya, Central African Republic and Ukraine, Wagner operatives have also fought in Sudan, Mali and Mozambique, exerting Russian influence by proxy, doing the bidding of authoritarian leaders and, at times, seizing oil and gas fields or securing other material interests. Increasingly, they’ve become more formalized and have started acting more like Western military contractors.” 

He appeared to have a mandate from Putin for electronic disruption and media control. That led to his indictment in 2018 by a USA federal grand jury, and personal sanctions for:

“interfering in the American election through the Internet Research Agency, a troll factory that spread falsehoods and waged information warfare against the United States, in support of the presidential campaign of Trump”. NYT June 23, 2023

Wagner goes to the Ukraine

After the Putin Russian imperialists started their poorly led aggressive war of invasion in Ukraine, Wagner was sent to the Ukrainian Front. Prigozhin being familiar with Russian jails himself, recruited prisoners to fight in Wagner. Wagner’s moderate successes – achieved only at high death rates – there both swelled Prigozhin’s head, but infuriated him against the Russian army leadership. Especially after the recent, grinding senseless battle of Bakhmut – many Wagner troops died. Prigozhin accused Russian commanders of inadequate supply of munitions, and incompetence. This rapidly began a ‘tough talk’ set of diatribes:

“using social media to turn tough talk and brutality into his personal brand.. launching accusations at Russia’s military leadership, blaming it for failing to provide his forces with enough ammunition and ignoring soldiers’ struggles… Mr. Putin had not checked Mr. Prigozhin’s online accusations, despite jailing or fining many other critics of the war. Spewing vulgarities, disregarding the law and displaying loyalty to no one but Mr. Putin, Mr. Prigozhin.. became a symbol of wartime Russia.” NYT June 23, 2023

All this likely gave Prigozhin delusions of grandeur as a ‘saviour’ of Russia. It appears he even met with Ukraine’s military intelligence chief, Kyrylo Budanov. Prigozhin made extraordinary offers of treason to reveal Russia’s most vulnerable troop locations to Ukraine:

“In late January, with his mercenary forces dying by the thousands in a fight for the ruined city of Bakhmut, Wagner Group owner Yevgeniy Prigozhin made Ukraine an extraordinary offer. Prigozhin said that if Ukraine’s commanders withdrew their soldiers from the area around Bakhmut, he would give Kyiv information on Russian troop positions, which Ukraine could use to attack them. Prigozhin conveyed the proposal to his contacts in Ukraine’s military intelligence directorate, with whom he has maintained secret communications during the course of the war, according to previously unreported U.S. intelligence documents leaked on the group-chat platform Discord… Two Ukrainian officials confirmed that Prigozhin has spoken several times to the Ukrainian intelligence directorate, known as HUR. One official said that Prigozhin extended the offer regarding Bakhmut more than once, but that Kyiv rejected it…” Washington Post; May 15, 2023 

Conclusions

Obviously Prigozhin finally realized he was unlikely to prevail. Putin for his part invoked the Civil War in 1917, facilely painting that as a time of “intrigues, quarrels, politicking behind the back of the army and the people turning at end into “the tragedy of the civil war” Putin’s Speech 24 June. In reality the Civil War was far more, it was an open fight between the Bolshevik new order fighting the ex-Tsarist, pro-Western imperialists, who were trying to dislodge the Lenin Government

While there are a number of pro-Marxist and Marxist-Leninist forces in Russia today, none have reached anywhere near the point of being able to intervene with mass credibility. Until such a party emerges, anti-Putin struggles are doomed to remain largely in the realm of inter-oligarch struggles. 

In those the people have no voice. That is not to say that alliances at certain points might not be necessary. But only a principled working-class party leading the way forward can hope to dislodge the oligarchs and recreate conditions for a new socialist revolution in Russia. The same largely applies to the Ukraine. Although in Ukraine a pre-condition will be the removal and forcing back of Russian aggression. Only then can remaining reactionary forces – including their own oligarchy – can be dealt with. 

First published June 25th at Red Phoenix APL

What does Israel’s government mean for Palestinians?

Palestinian journalist Hebh Jamal discusses the predictable totalitarianism of Israel and how it signals an escalation in the battle to decolonise Palestine


26/06/2023

Earlier this year, Israel saw an unprecedented amount of protestors taking to the streets to protest their own government. They compared the Netenyahu regime to biblical autocrats and chanted that they did not want fascism to prevail within their own society.

Netanyahu’s far right coalition was seeking to grant the government more control over judicial appointments as well as the power to overrule supreme court decisions. The Israeli people were in effect, protesting the overhaul of the judiciary or as they put it, the immediate threat to their “democratic” state.

The subsequent narrative within the liberal press was that this overhaul was a break with Israeli democratic values, and even western governments urged Netanyahu to preserve those values to protect the future of the Israeli people.

While some Israelis believe that religious fundamentalists and the far right coalition parties are belittling their state institutions and inching the country towards outright fascism, Palestinians are absent from the conversation.

The very high court that liberal Israelis are trying to preserve, has been the epicenter of Palestinian repression. The same court allows the confiscation of Palestinian land in the Occupied West Bank for Jewish settlers. The same court allowed the use of live fire against Palestinian protesters in Gaza in 2018 where 234 Palestinian were killed. The same court is willing to tolerate and even explicitly approve the use of torture against Palestinians. They also allow the unlawful and illegal detainment of Palestinian prisoners without charge and when they die, the same court allows the state to hold their bodies as political bargaining chips.

Hannah Arendt’s argument, that totalitarian regimes rely on an all encompassing ideology to justify their actions can perfectly be exemplified by how Israel weaponises antisemitism and depicts Zionism as a self liberating ideology…

So it is no surprise that Palestinians are not keen on helping “save” Israeli democracy. Understandably, the logical question that may follow is “won’t it just get worse for Palestinians if Israel is a fascist state?”

For us, Israel has been a fascist state since its inception. And its inception is plagued by the Palestinian catastrophe, known as the Nakba which we commemorated this month, that expelled three quarters of a million Palestinians from their homes and villages. The election of Netanyahu and the appointment of radicals like Itamar Ben Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich is only the natural behaviour of a violent settler-colonial state.

But let’s go even further, why not call Israel a totalitarian state? Hannah Arendt describes totalitarianism as a distinct form of social system chracterised by total control and domination over every aspect of an individual’s life. They seem to eradicate all forms of pluralism, dissent and individuality in the pursuit of their ideological objectives.

To me, that definition perfectly defines how Israel controls Palestinian movement by surveilling them continuously in places like Jerusalem and Hebron through AI technology, then deploying numerous checkpoints on their land to monitor their every move. The factors that make a state totalitarian, such as “the complete domination of a people” can be defined through Israel’s murder campaigns in Gaza and their complete control of the strip’s access to water and electricity.

I can draw another parallel. Hannah Arendt’s argument that totalitarian regimes rely on an all encompassing ideology to justify their actions can perfectly be exemplified by how Israel weaponises antisemitism and depicts Zionism as a self liberating ideology – even if it’s rooted in complete ethnic cleansing.

To Palestinians Israel is a fascist, totalitarian, let’s say even autocratic state, and we can debate the terms, semantics and theology for a while, but my point is actually that for Palestinians, it does not matter what you call Israel, because a common talking point that you will hear among Palestinians in Palestine or in the diaspora is that “we saw this coming.”

In fact, I’ll make it personal despite the typical German sentiment that tells us to keep emotions out of it. My family’s village of Jimzu in the Lydd district of ‘48 Palestine was ethniclly cleansed on July 9th 1948 under Operation Danny. Lt. Moshe Dayan, who then became Israel’s defence minister, gave the order to conquer all of Lydd and Ramle, and all of the villages that inhabited the region. Moshe Dayan’s intentions from the start was to depopulate Jimzu and the surrounding villages, “torching everything that can be burned.”

My great grandfather, Issa Al-Jamal, sneaked into his village after the military operation was over. He recalled that the remains of dead people were scattered all around the village, unburied. “It’s as if their bodies were dismembered by wild dogs,” my great grandfather said.

My great grandfather made it a point to remember Moshe Dayan’s words. And in fact, he read Theodore Herzl’s diary wherein he said that the “process of expropriation and the removal of the poor Arabs must be carried out discreetly and circumspectly.”

Herzl wrote this in 1895.

And we made it a point to remember how the Jewish National Fund went even further by destroying our homes then planting trees on top of our cemeteries. “It must be clear that there is no room in the country for both peoples … If the Arabs leave it, the country will become wide and spacious for us. The only solution is a Land of Israel … without Arabs” the director, Joseph Weitz said.

This country’s memory culture is embedded, not in self reflection and critique, but in attempting to absolve their sins to advance their national gains. Israel has determined that Germany will never again be anti-semitic as long as it is Zionist.

The call for genocide has always been said out loud, it has just been masked by a neoliberal facade because democracy and freedom was working for some. Palestinians have identical stories like my family’s. Our shared trauma and dispossession is all due to the success of Israel’s so called democracy. So why on earth would we fight to preserve it?

In fact, the seeming crisis within the Zionist movement itself is an important development. You have far right parties opposed to the even farther right parties. And eventually this crisis will collapse in on itself and will lead to its own destruction.

I understand my speech may be provocative and may not even answer the questions that this panel originally poses, but I wanted to give a Palestinian perspective about why this discussion and framing, in the end, does very little to change the terms for our liberation struggle which have always been about our fundamental right to return to our houses and villages.

We always believed Israel is not a democratic state, and can’t be a democratic state if it is built on the dispossession of the Palestinian people.

And unfortunately the only thing that does change is the escalation of death, imprisonment and violation of basic human rights in which Israel will carry out against the indigenous population. Because a self-proclaimed western state that no longer cares about its liberal facade and does very little to protect that facade will only aim to eradicate the existential threat indiscriminately.

As we saw just this month when Gaza was bombed, murdering 30 Palestinians, including women and children. It was only then that Israel’s Ben Gvir ended his boycott of the government. His far right party, Otzma Yehudit said “Following the adoption of our position and a transition from containment to attack and targeted assassinations of Islamic Jihad leaders, we will return to vote with the government. “

Ben Gvir said that it was “a good start.”

Fascist Zionists and right wing Zionists are currently leveraging the deaths of Palestinians as bargaining chips for their own internal crisis.

However, I understand there exists an Israeli left that does say that Palestine should be free as we’ve seen earlier this year. While for some this may look like a glimmer of hope that an Israeli populace might change from within, I urge you to not overestimate these occurrences.

Franz Fanon explains the grim reality that comes with decolonisation. He says:

“[decolonisation] sets out to change the order of the world, and is obviously a program of complete disorder. It cannot come as a result of magical practices, nor of a natural shock, nor of a friendly understanding. It is the meeting of two forces, opposed to each other by their very nature, which in fact owe their originality to that sort of substantification which results from and is nourished by the situation in the colonies. Their first encounter was marked by violence and their existence together—that is to say the exploitation of the native by the settler—was carried on by dint of a great array of bayonets and cannons.”

I want to believe that everyone, even Fanon himself, wanted his analysis to be wrong. But as history has explained to us over and over again, the only people that can liberate themselves from violent settler colonisation, is the colonised themselves. The Palestinians that resist do not do so because they crave death, contrary to popular belief, it is because they crave life.

I understand that the essence of this talk was looking outwards to Palestine and Israel and the current phenomenon that is transpiring. But I hope to speak about another issue that impacts us all here in Germany which I wanted to briefly touch upon through my role as a journalist.

Right here in Berlin last weekend we saw an incredible amount of repression by the police, who violently attacked protestors who were commemorating the 75th anniversary of the Nakba. They arrested Jewish anti-Zionists and Palestinians alike.

They are the extended hand of the fascist, totalitarian, colonial state of Israel as they are doing their bidding, suppressing Palestinians whether it is censoring them, slandering their names with false allegations, refusing to give them access to public funding and space or by signing a resolution that specifically calls their nonviolent form of resistance anti-semitic – for Palestinians the Nakba in Germany is alive and well.

This country’s memory culture is embedded, not in self reflection and critique, but in attempting to absolve their sins to advance their national gains. Israel has determined that Germany will never again be anti-semitic as long as it is Zionist. Instead, Germany claims that a new wave of anti-semitism has infiltrated its country – an imported form of anti-semitism that stems from the migration of Arab and Muslims.

They have turned phrases such as the powerful chant that Palestine will be free, from the river to the sea, as a call for murder. Israel has given them a book of their propaganda in which to abide by and have obscured even our calls of freedom from oppression, occupation and apartheid.

Germany has even changed school textbooks to ensure that their children understand Israel is not to be criticised.

The reality of the situation whether in Palestine or in Germany forces us to wake up to the intricacies of settler colonialism that always had a Western and European backer.

But I would urge my allies to not despair. All efforts of decolonisation sees an escalation of state violence and repression. The more repressive policies are adopted , the more they attempt to erase our existence. The more our identities become a nuisance to Germany, and Israel’s imperial project, the closer we actually are to eventual liberation – from the river to the sea.

This is the text of a speech given by Hebh in a meeting at the Marxismuss conference in Berlin with Rob Ferguson. Rob’s speech is available here.

Israel, the US, and imperialism

Talk of a ‘Zionist lobby’ gets things the wrong way round. The US supports Israel for its own imperial interests


25/06/2023

Israel, the US, and imperialism

In July 1956, Egyptian president, Colonel Abdul Nasser, announced the nationalisation of the Suez Canal. Britain and France, the old colonial powers, had together with Israel, conspired to invade Egypt, seize control of the canal and overthrow Nasser. On 29 October Israeli forces attacked, and British and French troops followed on 5 November. Within two days it was over, ending in humiliation for Britain and France. President Eisenhower, who had warned against invasion, cut off finance to Britain from the International Monetary Fund and threatened sanctions, fuelling a massive run on sterling. Britain, facing bankruptcy and devaluation of the pound, accepted a UN ceasefire and withdrawal.

The outcome of the 1956 Suez Crisis reflected the new imperialist order after 1945. The US and the Soviet Union now confronted each other as global nuclear superpowers; the middle east was a growing site of superpower rivalry. As the Soviet Union accelerated arms supplies to Egypt, Syria and Iraq, the US looked to counter Soviet influence. After Suez, Israel recognised the US as the key imperialist power and increasingly sought an alliance. Whilst the US had opposed the 1956 invasion, the tension between the US and Israel soon loosened. By 1962, President Kennedy declared a special relationship with Israel comparable to that with Britain.

The first key watershed came with the 1967 Arab-Israeli war. The war left Israel the most formidable military power in the region; President Nixon told Henry Kissinger that Israel was the only effective opponent to Soviet expansion in the Middle East and the US now overtook France as Israel’s main source of arms.

However, the second turning point came with the Arab-Israeli war of 1973; here the outcome was more ambiguous. The Arab armies took Israel and its imperialist patron by surprise. Whilst Israel emerged as the victor, the initial defeats punctured assumptions of Israeli invulnerability.

After the 1973 war, the cornerstone of US policy was to establish Israel’s permanent military and technological superiority, known as “Qualitative Military Edge”. Up to 1973, US foreign military sales to any one recipient were capped at $250 million per year. In 1974, US military aid to Israel rocketed to $2.2 billion, setting an annual benchmark since. A senior state department official defined Qualitative Military Edge as the guarantee of Israel’s ability to “counter and defeat credible military threats from any individual state, coalition of states, or non-state actor, while sustaining minimal damages or casualties… Each and every security assistance request from the Israeli Government is evaluated in light of our policy to uphold Israel’s Qualitative Military Edge.” This policy was written into US law by the Obama administration.

At the same time, the US has sought to bring the Arab regimes into its camp. After the defeat of 1973, Egypt began negotiations with Israel and in 1979, President Sadat signed the Egypt-Israel peace treaty. Egypt became the second biggest recipient of US military aid.

Nonetheless, US imperialism faces a fundamental quandary: the vulnerabilities of the Arab regimes. During the 1970s and early 1980s, the Palestinian struggle combined with popular resentment, posing a threat to Arab rulers, and acted as a catalyst for anti-imperialist sentiment across the region.

In 1970, civil war erupted in Jordan between Palestinians and their allies on one side, and the autocrat and key US ally, King Hussein, on the other. Syria backed the revolt seeking an advantage against a regional rival. However, Israel confronted Syria in the Golan and Jordan valley; King Hussein’s forces overwhelmed the Palestinians and forced a Syrian withdrawal.

After the civil war in Jordan, US Aid to Israel rose five-fold from under $300 million between 1968-1970 to $1.5 billion in 1971-1973 – even before the 1973 October war. The same pattern was repeated after the Iranian revolution and during the civil war in Lebanon and Israel’s invasion in 1982. After the Iranian revolution and the overthrow of the Shah, arguably the US’s most important ally on the Persian Gulf, US military aid to Israel sky-rocketed to its highest ever level in real terms – at over $5 billion at 2018 dollar value.

Thus, the biggest spikes in military aid took place when the Arab regimes were threatened by mass revolt, and when Israel faced mass resistance from Palestinians. For example after the first intifada in the late 1980s, and the second intifada in the early 2000s. These increases were proportionally greater in real terms even than were the increases after the Arab-Israeli wars.

Today, Israel is the largest cumulative recipient of US military aid since 1945, totalling $160 billion. Israel also has the world’s largest F-16 fleet except for the United States Air Force. In 2011, as Arab revolutions shook the Middle East, Andrew J. Shapiro, assistant secretary for the Middle East at the state department, in an address entitled “Ensuring Israel’s Qualitative Military Edge” referred to the storming of the Israeli embassy by anti-regime protestors in Cairo. Shapiro insisted the Obama administration was providing unprecedented levels of aid to Israel “at a time when Israel needs our support to address the multifaceted threats it faces.”

There is a side point to be made here but an important one. The trajectory of the relationship between US imperialism and Israel shows that to place emphasis on a “Zionist Lobby” manipulating US foreign policy is misplaced and misleading. This gets things the wrong way round. The US is the most powerful imperialist power in history. It needs no persuading that Israel is an indispensable strategic asset in defence of US imperialist interests in the middle east.

Indeed, before 1973, what is now the largest pro-Israel lobby, the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, AIPAC, was a marginal shoe-string operation that sometimes was not able to pay its own staff. It only rose to significance in the 1980s, long after massive escalation in US military aid to Israel and the US policy of establishing Israel’s “Qualitative Military Edge”.

Israel – A Militarised Economy

What does Israel’s imperialist role mean for Israel itself? Both Israel’s society and economy is highly militarised. The massive acceleration of US military and economic aid to Israel since the 1970s is central to the political economy of the Zionist project. Military spending laid the basis for a boom in high-tech and research-intensive manufacturing that fuelled the Israeli economy.

In 1965, high-tech industries accounted for 37% of industrial production; by 2006, the figure was 70%. As a percentage, computer and communications rose from 36% of service exports in 1995 to 78% in 2019. The huge investment by the US feeds back into the high-tech sector and Israel’s industrial base.

Israel has a dual foundation: maintaining the apartheid system over Palestinians on one hand and acting as regional enforcer of US imperialist interests on the other. The apartheid state is more than a foul system of dispossession and domination. It reflects a particular form of capitalist development of imperialism in the middle east.

A Colonial Settler State – Fortress of Imperialist Interests

The understanding of how the settler-colonial garrison is embedded into the imperialist order helps explain why US support for Israel is unconditional. Even faced with far-right pogromists in power, there are no red lines in US support for Israel.

Addressing the American Israel Public Affairs Committee Policy Summit in June, Secretary of State, Anthony Blinken declared that the US-Israel commitment to Israel’s ‘security’ was “non-negotiable” and “ironclad”. He continued to detail the $3.3 billion per annum in foreign military financing; an additional $500 million funding for missile defense, tens of millions for counter-drone and anti-tunneling technologies and an additional $1 billion funding for Israel’s Iron Dome.

Of course true the US also relies on Arab regimes. However, there is a fundamental feature that distinguishes Israel from the Arab rulers. These regimes can be brought down by revolt from below. Pillars of US imperialism such as the Shah of Iran in 1979, Mubarak in Egypt in 2011 have been deposed through revolt from below, a threat that all Arab rulers of the region fear.

In this, Israel has a distinguishing feature. There is no settler-colonial state in history that has dissolved itself. It is this that makes Israel a uniquely vital fortress of imperialist interests.

After the Cold War: 1991 – 2023

However, the imperialist order is not static; imperialism is a system driven by competing states. That process is dynamic, generating tensions and conflict as the relative position of rival powers shifts.

At the end of the Cold War, the US emerged as the world’s sole military superpower. However, the US has suffered a continuing relative decline in its dominance over world trade and production. The US has therefore sought to re-assert hegemony through the exercise of military might – in the Balkan Wars, Somalia, the first Gulf War of 1991, in the 1990s bombing campaigns and sanctions against Iraq. The 1990s closed with the Kosovan war, the NATO campaign against Serbia, and the onset of NATO’s massive expansion eastward.

This vision of US global dominance was expressed most explicitly in the neo-con “project of the New American Century” that informed the Bush administration. This vision met its nemesis in the Middle East amidst the disastrous defeats in Iraq and Afghanistan. The key beneficiary of the Iraq War was the United States’ historic foe – Iran. This led to intensified confrontation between Iran, Saudi and other Gulf states… and of course, Israel.

At the same time, Russia emerged from the collapse of the 1990s on a tide of oil and gas revenues, and now Russia’s intervention in support of the Syrian regime further highlighted US weakness.

Palestine and the Arab Spring

Here we need to turn to the question of Palestinian resistance and the Arab revolution. The first Intifada at the end of the 1980s led to the Oslo Accords of the early 90s. The Accords held out a false promise of a future Palestinian state in an attempt to quell Palestinian resistance while harnessing the PLO leadership to collaboration. By 2000 Oslo was buried in a massive tide of settlement expansion and ethnic cleansing.

The fraud of  the Oslo Accords sparked the second intifada of the 2000s, and the election victory of Hamas in 2006, followed by the blockade and repeated assaults by Israel on Gaza. This brings us towards today. In May 2021 the “unity intifada” erupted across historic Palestine and new forces of resistance emerged, particularly amongst Palestinian youth and above all amongst Palestinians with Israeli citizenship within “1948 Israel”.

The Arab revolutions of 2011 sent shock waves through the middle east and centres of imperialist power. The Palestinian struggle was invoked repeatedly in the mass protests. Starting on Nakba Day in May, thousands of protestors attempted to approach or breach the Israeli border from Lebanon, Syria, Egypt, and Jordan.

In Egypt thousands planned to drive to the border in convoys of buses from across the country. The military ordered bus companies to cancel their transport and stopped any who approached the border. At the Syrian border, Syrian police were overwhelmed; four protestors were killed and dozens injured when Israeli soldiers opened fire. In September 2011, a mass protest laid siege to the Israeli Embassy in Cairo. Thousands broke down the security wall, occupied and ransacked the embassy for two days. Embassy security staff were rescued by Egyptian commandos; the ambassador and 85 diplomats fled to Tel Aviv.

In 2020, the UAE, Bahrain, and Morocco signed the Abraham Accords with Israel, Saudi and other Gulf states moving towards closer collaboration. As the New York Times put it: “The Arab Spring uprisings had shown Gulf monarchs that popular anger over repression and corruption were bigger threats to their rule than any blowback over their failure to maintain solidarity with the Palestinians”. In addition, the Gulf rulers shared economic interests with Israel – one influential Gulf think tank argued that normalisation of relations with Israel would bring an arc of prosperity across the region.

Shifts in Imperialist Power

However, the tectonic plates of imperialist power are shifting. China’s brokering of the Saudi-Iranian deal is a hugely important indication. China needs stability in the Gulf from where it gets over 40% of its crude oil. It has important investments in the Saudi energy sector and interest in a potential energy pipeline transit corridor through Iran that would provide an alternative trade route to the Suez Canal and the South China Sea.

For its part, Saudi Arabia is investing billions of dollars to attract foreign investment. It no longer sees itself simply as a security vassal of the United States but a regional power, even while it maintains a strategic alliance with the US. As one Saudi official put it, “The United States fails to understand that we cannot be allies at the expenses of our interests”.

Conclusion

The state of Israel is not an anachronism or a left-over from the colonial period. Israeli apartheid has been reproduced by the dynamics of imperialism in the Middle East; it is cemented to US imperialism. Change will not come from the Arab ruling classes, nor from forces within Israeli settler society. To bring the Zionist state to an end and forge a free Palestine of equality for all its citizens will require a challenge to imperialism from the Arab masses themselves.

In this, Palestinians are not simply the passive beneficiary of struggles in the wider region, they act as a potential detonator of revolt. Palestinian resistance ebbs and flows but is permanently inscribed in the struggle against settler colonialism and imperialism in the Middle East. Whenever the working class and oppressed in the Middle East challenge their own regimes, they confront the imperialist order and in doing so they confront the Zionist state. The process that began with the Arab revolutions of 2011 is not over.

The struggle for a free Palestine is therefore an indissoluble part of the struggle against imperialism in the Middle East and the anti-imperialist struggle here at home.

This is adapted from the text of a speech Rob Ferguson gave at the Marxismuss 2023 Conference in Berlin.

The rise and fall (and rise and fall) of the Egyptian Left – Final Part

The Arab Spring in Egypt


24/06/2023

Editor’s Note: Phil Butland and Helena Zohdi recently interviewed Hossam el-Hamalawy about the history of the Egyptian Left. You can read Parts 1, 2, 3 and 4 of the Interview here, here, here and here.

Hi again Hossam. At the end of our last interview, we talked about events in Egypt just before the beginnings of the region-wide Arab Spring. What happened to finally trigger these massive protests?

Khaled Said was a young, middle-class Alexandrian man whom regime police brutally tortured and killed, and who became an icon and martyr of the Egyptian revolution. Photos of his deformed body spread like wildfire online. This then triggered protests, which snowballed into the events of January 25, marking Egypt’s entry into the wider Arab Spring movement.

But Said’s murder was not the first violent incident by police that was documented and that spread online. If this had happened in 2000, it would not have triggered a revolution. If this had happened in 2003, it would not have triggered a revolution. If it had happened in 2007, it still would not have triggered a revolution. Revolution is a process.

By 2010, Egyptians were ready to revolt. For 10 years they had been striking, protesting, forming unofficial coordination networks, starting to form independent unions, and crucially, beginning to understand the culture of protest – which had been essentially killed over two decades before the events of the 2000s.

What you’re saying strongly contradicts other interpretations of the Arab Spring by many Western pundits. You often hear that Egypt was peaceful until 2010. A flower seller in Tunisia set himself alight in protest, and then the Arab Spring just happened. There are also theories that the revolt was instead a Muslim Brotherhood coup, or even a CIA coup.

These interpretations absolutely ignore the role of workers in trade unions. They also deny agency to ordinary Egyptians. They see the Arab Spring as the work of a few leaders, whether the Brotherhood, the CIA or whomever wanted to take power.

This narrative suited many people in the West and elsewhere, because they wanted limited reform within Egypt. Many Western countries were the sponsors of the various Arab regimes. It suited Western dreams to talk about the middle-class and bilingual, internet-savvy youth on their Blackberries, or on Facebook and Twitter, sharing how they love Western democracy.

According to this narrative, someone created a Facebook event and then there was revolution. It played well with the Western press, and at first, this narrative also helped the Egyptian military, who were keen to stop the revolution from progressing into a widespread social revolt that involved the working class and the urban poor.

So, you can imagine the military saying: “Thanks Internet kids for getting rid of Mubarak. Now what the fuck are the workers doing? Why are they striking? Why are people protesting gentrification?” These social revolts were not welcome.

If you weren’t a well-dressed, middle-class kid with a Blackberry device, then you were a criminal thug. For the first two years of the revolution, the military whipped up fears of rampant crime. Criminal thugs are raiding your homes, they’re going rape your women. A daily Egyptian television program called, “Security for All,” also worked to stoke fear amid the public.

This narrative was misleading. Access to social media and the internet was blocked over the 18 days of revolt in Egypt. If this was just an online revolution, it would have been stopped early on. But when there was a telecommunication shutdown, we activists would send someone to journalists at Al-Jazeera to say, ”I’m a representative of the revolutionaries in Tahrir, and I have news for you. Tomorrow, we are organizing a million-strong protest in Cairo and elsewhere.”

Al-Jazeera would then announce this to Egyptians in their homes, watching TV – and then people would start mobilizing. If Mubarak had shut down Al-Jazeera, this would have affected the revolution far more than the internet shutdown did at the time.

The Western narrative you mentioned doesn’t only negate the complex social processes that had been going on for a decade, but also it negates the fact that it was not the Tahrir Square revolts which brought down Mubarak in the end. If it was only us in Tahrir, Mubarak would have survived.

What mattered were the industrial actions during the last week of the uprising. Egypt at this time witnessed its strongest wave of strikes, much stronger than anything you can imagine. Literally the entire country went on strike, probably only excepting the police. The military had to intervene and depose Mubarak, before the whole system collapsed.

Once Mubarak stepped down, the first legislation to come from the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces [SCAF, the body that assumed power] was an anti-strike law. Propaganda against the strike movement was widespread, labeling the workers as greedy. They were told, “You only care about yourself. The country is going through a revolution. We should focus first on the political process, the constitutional reforms, like electing a new government which will give you your rights. But you shouldn’t go on strike now.”

The denunciation of the strikes didn’t just come from SCAF or the armed forces. It also came from liberals and the Muslim Brotherhood, from virtually every group except some factions of the Egyptian Left. We saw that these industrial actions were indeed the spirit of the revolution. The slogan that was raised in Tahrir was “Bread, Freedom and Social Justice.” The goal of the strikes was to fight for social justice. How else do you think social justice is going to happen?

Let’s review a bit. In part three of our interview, you explained how nearly every significant action of the Egyptian Left had been inspired by events in Palestine. You’ve written an article saying that the commemoration in Egypt of the 75th anniversary of the Nakba was barely existent. What does this say about the state of the Egyptian Left, now 12 years after the Arab Spring?

It Is very sad. But it is also very telling of what the general political situation in Egypt is like. Palestine has always been a big source of inspiration for both the Egyptian Left and the Islamists. Egyptian youth were often radicalized and politicized by the Palestinian cause. Whenever anything happened in Palestine, the first reactions would be seen immediately in Egypt. And the strongest and the most militant reactions would come from Egypt.

The counter-revolution in Egypt, over the past 10 years, has done two things. First, President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi has dismantled anything that is even remotely political in the country. He has dismantled any structures which had worked to agitate, organize or sustain the momentum of activism. All the organizations which penned leaflets and coordinated action have been crushed.

The second thing is that the state’s wielding of lethal force has sent a message that any sort of assembly is not welcome and will have drastic consequences. As we speak, there are some Egyptian youth who are now in prison simply because they called for an event called “Batman Helwan,” for which they said participants were going to dress up as the comic book character Batman. It was a joke. These young people are in prison on terror charges. Anything you can imagine in Egypt is now being suppressed in the name of the “war on terror.” It is very sad to see.

After the coup, the counter-revolutionary forces wanted their revenge on the many causes that supporters of the revolution had adopted. This included support for Palestine, as the Palestine flag had been present at every single protest.

If you talk about the queer community in Egypt, the biggest crackdown here did not happen during this first year of Muslim Brotherhood rule. It happened under the supposedly enlightened and secular military regime, that “saved Egypt from those medieval Islamists.”

Why is the queer community being attacked now, even though they aren’t politically organized and do not directly threaten the establishment? It is because anything that is a threat to the strictly disciplined, traditional social and political order is being now attacked by the counter -revolution. And Palestine also fits within that context, unfortunately.

You’ve talked about the importance of Al-Jazeera and internet blogs. You’ve posted photos online for free, calling them the “visual memory of the class.” Could you explain what you mean by that, and why it’s important for you to make images accessible both from Egyptian uprisings and from protests here in Berlin?

Trotsky describes a revolutionary party as the memory of the class. Under feudalism, for example, the bourgeoisie – when it was still a revolutionary class and rebelling against feudalism – created most of the revolutionary parties amid the revolt itself. Now why is that? It’s because there wasn’t this ideological hegemony of feudalism over the bourgeoisie.

Here I’m using analogies from British activist Tony Cliff, that a bourgeois capitalist could look at a feudalist and tell them, “You have the church. I have the university. You have the land; I have the machinery. I might even have more money than you. When you’re broke, you will marry your daughter into my family, because I will save you.”

The situation of workers under capitalism is different. Capitalists have ideological hegemony over the workers. There isn’t any way to escape this. They control the means of communication. They control the media in all its forms. They control education, the institutions that we live in. It is very difficult to get unplugged from this matrix.

That’s why people like us, the crazies, are a minority, right up until the revolution. It’s only when the revolution happens, that a revolutionary minority becomes the majority. I’ve seen this. In 2011, everyone was an activist. I would walk down the street and hear Egyptians discussing the referendum and constitutional reforms.

In the 1990s, before I joined the Revolutionary Socialists, and I knew a couple of kids at my university. We all liked reading existentialist writers, and we asked ourselves when the day would come when Egyptians sitting in coffee shops would discuss Sartre (we had this elitist view). But I saw this on the streets. People were discussing class struggle or the Revolutionary Socialists, or the strikes, or whether this state should continue, or should we bring it down?

When Trotsky talked about a revolutionary party as the memory of the class, he was aware that we live in a state of continual amnesia. Not because we’re stupid, but because the common-sense realm around us is controlled by the bourgeoisie at the end of the day.

So those of us who are unplugged from the matrix should create a forum in a sense, where we sit down and we examine, for example, what happened in the Iranian Revolution in 1979. So that when we have our revolution, we can try to avoid those mistakes. What happened in the Bolshevik Revolution of 1917? What happened during the Spanish Civil War? Not just these revolutions but also the small struggles. We should preserve the memories of these.

The next time I’m speaking at a university, say, and people tell me that Egyptians have always worshipped pharaohs, I can tell them instead that the first recorded strike in history took place in ancient Egypt. Just five years ago there was an important strike in Egyptian steel mills, but you never heard about it, as the mainstream press is controlled by the state.

Where would you read about this strike? You’d find it in the crime news section, in an article that reports that people have tried to instigate riots and sabotage the factory, and that the police have saved the country from saboteurs.

What is the best way to preserve the memory of the class? A picture speaks 1,000 words. Audio recordings are also important, but people can say about a recording that you’re lying. How can you prove that an event happened just by talking about it? In my public talks, I always present a slide show, so that whatever story I’m telling, I’m also showing.

You can’t imagine the number of people who have come up to me and told me that in 2011, they were following my photos. They said they could not believe that such a thing was happening in Egypt. They couldn’t believe what the strikers in Mahalla were doing. And that witnessing these events through media inspired and instigated them to start taking action themselves.

Now I am here in Germany and it’s a different situation, of course. But I do believe that it’s not that there is something in the water here that prevents Germans from becoming revolutionary. There is a revolutionary tradition here in Germany that is as old as capitalism. It has its martyrs, it has produced intellectuals, it has produced sincere activists. And this is the kind of tradition that as an Egyptian revolutionary, I am proud to be affiliating with.

These are my own people. Rosa Luxemburg is my martyr, not just a martyr for the Germans. Karl Liebknecht is the same. So are the guys who fought the Nazis and who died in concentration camps. We are part of one international class. These are not abstract slogans. A defeat that happens anywhere creates a domino effect, but so does a victory.

We’ve seen glimpses of it with the Arab Spring. The day when former President Ben Ali fell in Tunisia, I was with a comrade who is a prominent labor lawyer. We were meeting a diving instructor friend in Alexandria, because he wanted to establish a trade union for diving instructors. And on the screen came the news that Ben Ali had fallen. People were clapping in the coffee shop. They were saying, Mubarak is next. And 10 days later, the Egyptian revolution started.

People can draw parallels. This does not negate that there was a complex process beforehand. When a revolution breaks out in one country, this does not mean that it is a revolutionary hot point in a sea of calm. It means that the larger region is already in turmoil, because capitalism has unified us. We are all part of the same globalized, interlinked economy.

You’re both a photographer and print journalist. In 2011, we followed both your images and articles, and found them very useful to make sense of what was going on in Egypt. You’re relaunching your blog – why now?

People should subscribe to the blog if they are interested in following news and analysis of what’s happening in Egypt. I do admit my coverage will be largely focused on Egypt. Sometimes I will write about things that are happening elsewhere. But my focus is mainly Egypt.

I feel that Egypt has dropped out of the news. Whenever the country is talked about, it’s about archaeological discoveries or tourist destinations, or about Egypt fighting illegal immigration or cracking down on groups amid a continued war on terror. But Egypt has the largest working class in the region. What happens in Egypt reverberates, you know, all over the Arab world.

Germany is the biggest arms exporter to Egypt. People here should know what their tax money is doing to us, to Egyptians back home.

Over the past few years, I haven’t been writing or blogging much. This was mainly because I was absorbed by my doctoral dissertation, which addresses Egyptian security services and the post-2013 regime in Egypt. I will share my findings and my analysis on the blog, as well as all the information that I’ve dug up regarding the security sector and the mechanics of repression in Egypt.

People should look outside their borders to what’s happening in the rest of the world. It’s not just the financial capitals of the West that determine the situation in advanced industrial societies. Events that happen on the fringes of the international world order, in places like Egypt and elsewhere, can impact the entire global system.

I believe that 10 years after the counter-revolution, things are not going well for Sisi, Egypt’s military dictator and president. The project in which he has invested is crumbling under the weight of debt. There has been a falling out between Sisi and regional backers, like the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia, countries which helped finance the counter-revolution.

There are prospects for changes in Egypt, it’s not clear yet in which direction. Before 2011, I used to write on my old blog about things that will happen in the future. These events did happen, but it wasn’t because I was a clairvoyant, I knew because I was connected to a network on the ground, that would give me the pulse of what’s going on, and would allow me to see things that other mainstream journalists couldn’t see.

I used to say, keep your eyes on Mahalla. No one really cared, but then the uprising happened three months before the revolution. I wrote a famous blog post called, “There’s something in the air,” that argued that Egypt was approaching revolution. I was interviewed by this BBC journalist after Tunisia’s Ben Ali was toppled. The journalist was so cynical, and he ridiculed me when I said that Egypt was next. When at the time, you could not even gather a few hundred people in public. This guy ended up chasing me later, during the 18 days of the Egyptian revolution.

In finishing, I hope that that people will subscribe to my newsletter. And I hope that I will not let them down in terms of providing content that will be interesting and will open new horizons about knowledge and information from this important part of the world.

You can subscribe to Hossam’s blog on contemporary Egyptian politics here.

Letter from the Editors: 22 June 2023

Hello everyone, Friday kicks off the first day of the “ARTIVISM: The Art of Subverting Power” conference, including panels, workshops, and artistic productions. The event explores questions of how can art and activism be combined to tackle burning social issues, surveillance, unethical corporations and corrupt governments? ARTIVISM offers streaming options, as well as in-person events […]


22/06/2023


Hello everyone,

Friday kicks off the first day of the “ARTIVISM: The Art of Subverting Power” conference, including panels, workshops, and artistic productions. The event explores questions of how can art and activism be combined to tackle burning social issues, surveillance, unethical corporations and corrupt governments? ARTIVISM offers streaming options, as well as in-person events at Studio 1, Kunstquartier Bethanien, Mariannenplatz 2 at 5pm. Access tickets here.

Also taking place on Friday, the Deutsches Historisches Museum offers discussions about “Colonial and Anti-Colonial Thinking in German History: From the Enlightenment to the 20th Century”. Discussions include interdisciplinary historians, philosophers, political scientists and sociologists taking place in German and English, simultaneous translation. The event begins at 9am-6pm at Hinter dem Gießhaus 3: ground floor. For those who can’t make it, sessions will be recorded and released later! Click here to register for free.

On Friday evening don’t miss a panel discussion at 7pm, hosted by the SAOT Festival. Panelists include members of the European Legal Support Center (ELSC), Palestinian activists and journalists. They will will provide insight into the political context surrounding our struggles and critically assess growing anti-Palestinian racism in Germany. The aim is to enable attendees on how to successfully push back against these attacks and support/empower the artist, activist, scholar, journalist, and all those who advocate for freedom and justice. Come to Haus der Statistik, Otto-Braun-Straße 70-72. Entry is free!

Saturday through Sunday H48 hosts the “Endangered Species” event series. Join us in our attempt to build communities. Joining us in our fight for houses and neighborhoods that enable and nourish human life and our relationships with one another – this includes the production and exchange of things that we call “art”. The event takes place at Hermannstr. 48, ring the bell at “Project Room”.

Get your groove on this Saturday at the Western Sahara cultural fest, celebrating 50 years of the Frente Polisario. The event includes live music, dance, henna, tea ceremony and much more. The cultural fest takes place in Mauer Park from 3pm-10pm.

There are many more activities this week in Berlin, which are listed on our Events page. You can also see a shorter, but more detailed, list of Events which we are directly involved in here.

In News from Berlin, hundreds of contract workers at Tesla have been let go, trade union ver.di demands that a Berlin aviation security company pay outstanding wages, and Berlin’s transport senator announced the cancellation of already planned cycle path projects with an impact on car traffic.

In News from Germany, Label suspends collaboration with musician Rammstein due to recent accusations of severe sexual violence, tourist dies after vicious attack at Neuschwanstein Castle, Greifswald residents vote against accommodation for refugees, Schwerin remains SPD following a runoff against the AfD candidate and migration increases in Germany as foreigners continue to bolster the population.

Read all about this week’s News from Berlin and Germany here.

New on theleftberlin this week, Dimitra Kyrillou walks us through the right wing shift taking place in Greece as elections are on the horizon, Part 4 of the fascinating interview with Hossam el-Hamalawy about the history of the Egyptian Left, Rowan Gaudet interviews Alice Garcia from (ELSC) regarding the definition of antisemitism and how it is used to suppress Palestine solidarity in Germany, check out the photos from this year’s Berlin LINKE Internationals Summer Camp, Goncalo Marcelino takes at AI’s troublesome infusion of biases, and Rohit K. explains how to decolonise Yoga against political exploitation.

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If you would like to contribute any articles or have any questions or criticisms about our work, please contact us at team@theleftberlin.com. And do encourage your friends to subscribe to this Newsletter.

Keep on fighting

The Left Berlin Editorial Board