The Left Berlin News & Comment

This is the archive template

Category: Articles

The AfD won big in Thuringia and Saxony – what now?

For the first time since the Second World War, a far right party has topped an election poll


09/09/2024

For the first time since World War II, a far-right party has won a state election in Germany. The AfD received the largest share of votes in the state of Thuringia, winning over almost 33% of voters, and the second largest in Saxony. So, now that an anti-immigrant, Eurosceptic party has more than just a foot in the door, what does the future hold for German politics?

The regional elections took place on Sunday, September 1st, with voters across Thuringia and Saxony, both located in former East Germany, heading to the polls. An election in Brandenburg is also scheduled for later this month. The AfD leader for Thuringia is Björn Höcke, one of the most hard-right members of the party, who has been fined for using Nazi slogans, and deemed an extremist by Germany’s domestic intelligence agency. 

But, how important are these elections to Germany’s political landscape as a whole? Thuringia is home to less than 3% of the German population, so, whilst the results indicate a worrying trend, the region is not necessarily representative of Germany’s wider voting patterns. 

The AfD now has a Sperrminorität, or a blocking minority, meaning that any decisions that require a two-thirds majority will have to be approved by the party. Olaf Scholz has called for a political ‘firewall’, asking other parties to unite to prevent the far-right from governing (something co-leader Alice Weidel has called ‘undemocratic’). Despite their recent success, analysts believe it unlikely that the AfD will participate in government, as no other parties will be willing to form a coalition with them. 

The results are indicative of a long-term pattern; that voters in eastern Germany are far more likely to vote for hard-right and populist parties (both left and right) than their western counterparts. The left-wing populist BSW (Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht) performed very well, especially considering the party was only founded in January of this year, coming in third place in both Saxony and Thuringia. One reason for this disparity is the lasting political repercussions of the GDR era – a different understanding of democracy and national identity that the AfD has successfully exploited. 

The Russia/Ukraine war is an important issue in this election; in fact, Russian media has purported that the AfD and BSW’s success is down to their pro-Russian foreign policy. Links to Russia are stronger in the former-Soviet eastern states, and there are still large numbers of German citizens with Russian heritage (Russlanddeutsche). Studies have shown that Russlanddeutsche are more likely to vote for the AfD than the general population, and the promise of rekindling relations with Russia is a big draw. 

However, the AfD’s key talking point that likely won over Thuringia was immigration. The election came just over a week after a mass stabbing in the city of Solingen, where three people were killed by a Syrian man believed to be a member of Islamic State. His asylum application to Germany had been rejected, yet he managed to remain in the country. 

Politicians have used this case to push for more stringent immigration policies and fewer asylum admissions – Björn Höcke tweeted ‘Finally put an end to the misguided path of forced multiculturalisation!’, and an AfD representative for Brandenburg called for a ban on asylum seekers attending public events. But it wasn’t just the far-right who politicised the incident; Olaf Scholz and other members of his coalition also called for more deportations, perhaps a tactic to minimise the AfD’s power, that has since backfired.

Olaf Scholz’s coalition government is unpopular. In retaliation to the current political establishment – made up of the SPD, the Greens and the FDP – many voters have turned to the far-right and populist left. It suggests a break from centrism across Germany, and a pivot to more extreme policies, particularly regarding immigration and international relations. Yet, the future of Germany’s political landscape will not ultimately become clear until September 2025, when the federal Bundestag elections will take place.

Chronicle of a Death Foretold

As expected, the AfD did well in the elections and Thuringia and Saxony. This makes it all the more important that we understand why


In Gabriel García Márquez’s world-renowned novel Chronicle of a Death Foretold, the reader knows from the very first page that the story will end in murder. Furthermore, this is not just an intuition. The author reveals in the very first sentence that the main character, Santiago Nasar, will be killed. Yet, the author’s narrative is so clear, and the language of the book so fluent, that despite knowing the ending, the reader continues to read with great curiosity.

Evaluating elections in Germany, unlike in many other countries, is often like reading Chronicle of a Death Foretold. Polls have a low margin of error. Political developments and candidates’ speeches from the parties already give away what the election results will be. Therefore, most of the commentaries on the state parliamentary elections in Thuringia and Saxony on Sunday, September 1, had already been written the previous week and had already reached the editors. The only thing missing from the articles on the editors’ desks were the election results, and there was an unoptimistic hope in the language that made one wonder “what if?”.

Just as we know Santiago Nasar will be killed in Chronicle of a Death Foretold, voters also knew that something would “die” in these elections. However, in this environment, both excessive hope and despair are meaningless. A good analysis of these two elections could revive some of the “things” that seem to have died in Germany.

The rise in support for the far-right AfD (Alternative for Germany), especially in eastern German states, was predictable. The initial results confirmed this: in Thuringia, the far-right party came in first place with a 6% lead, while in Saxony, they came in second by a narrow margin. It was also clear that the party surpassing AfD in Saxony being the Christian Democrats (CDU) would not make anyone on the political left happy. While a coalition between CDU, BSW (Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance), and SPD (Social Democratic Party) was expected in the Saxony parliament, in Thuringia, the only way to form a majority government would be for all the parties, except AfD, to agree on a coalition. The CDU had said they would never form a coalition with Die Linke (The Left), while it was known that Die Linke’s stance toward BSW wasn’t very positive either. In a minority government scenario without one of these parties, AfD could tie the hands of the parliament on matters such as the dissolution of parliament in extraordinary situations or the appointment of judges to the high court.

At this point, rather than being anxious about AfD’s rapid rise, it’s important to focus on understanding the reasons behind it. This is the only way to see the light at the end of the tunnel in the fight against far-right radicalism.

Wars and economic crises have left more than just bloodshed in world history. Far-right radicalism has always emerged as the rising tide in times of such crises. The crisis that began with the Ukraine-Russia war deepened when Germany, with an industrial-based economy, lost access to Russian gas. Inflation soared to levels not seen in a long time. The burden of taxes weighed heavier on citizens than ever before, and wage increases failed to keep pace with the rising cost of living. The ongoing housing crisis intensified. The social injustice between East and West Germany, combined with the government’s shifting budget from social services and education to defense, made the rise of far-right parties inevitable, especially those that based their politics on fundamental rights. These parties, with unfounded arguments, blamed all the existing problems on immigrants, denying Germany’s imperialist past and the fact that these issues existed long before the waves of migration. However, by presenting a tangible “enemy” and an immediate “target” to the impoverished masses, they garnered attention and successfully secured the votes of this segment of society.

At this stage, liberal parties with vague rhetoric, often criticized for being unclear, began to gradually lose the support they had found among voters. Parties that focused on the core issues of the majority, namely the lower-income groups, and that had clear principles, whether good or bad, started to rise. The existence of a left-wing party that centers around fundamental issues like peace, social justice, housing, and food security would be one of the most effective ways to prevent people who wish to oppose the detached and indifferent policies of the current federal government from being forced into the arms of the AfD.

For now, no party is willing to form a coalition with the AfD, which shows that there is still time and leverage to allow the development of the type of left-wing movement described above. It must be emphasized that the right to a decent life and social justice are the most important values for everyone, and that the poor people who voted for the AfD but are not part of the core of the party must also be convinced of this. Because without them we can never resurrect the “things that have died.”

This article was originally written in Turkish. Translator: Gülşah Gürsoy

Intifada revolution

Our responsibility to the cause and to each other


08/09/2024

“Is there any death other than one that smashes your face with a massive concrete block? Or dying slowly, trapped under the rubble, hearing them trying to reach you but failing?

God, people usually die in their beds, warm or as elders tired of life and its pleasures. But we die before we live, we die as children who remember nothing of the world but hunger, siege, and panic.”

This is a snapshot of the Gaza genocide through the eyes and words of Marah Shamali, my dear friend from Gaza, who is currently living through the horrors inflicted by the Zionist entity and its criminal army. A recent dental graduate, she was in the process of crafting a life in the medical profession, driven by her immense compassion and care for others.

After seven displacements since the genocide began in October, she now wakes up in a “room” in the sand, covered by only a thin tarp above her head, which she shares with her parents and brothers. There is no bathroom. There is no secure source of food. The sound of bombs is the ruthless backdrop to an unfathomable, bloody hell that drags on with no sign of ending. 

“We teach life, sir,” Marah tells me often, a line by Palestinian poet and activist Rafeef Ziadah. It rings and resonates in my ears when I hear it from her. Her steadfastness, bravery, humor, brilliance and unrelenting humanity radiate through the darkness of her circumstances, a warrior shaped by a necessary heritage of resistance against occupation. She now treks through evacuation zones under the threat of bombardment to volunteer dental services and care in camps housing children orphaned by the genocide.

The value of what she has taught me about sacrifice and principles is immeasurable. It has altered my worldview entirely. It has marinated and evolved in my consciousness as we speak each day and I consider how to most effectively and collectively fight alongside my comrades within a system defined by the violence of the oppressor. It has molded my perspective in thinking about our true responsibility, living in the west, watching a live-streamed genocide funded by our governments taking place before our eyes for almost a year. Above all, it has led me to a critical view and understanding of the phrase, “there is only one solution: intifada revolution.”

We shout our support for intifada and revolution, week after week at protests for Palestine in the police state of Germany, where we are beaten for it by the cops charged with upholding the German “Staatsräson” and protecting western imperialism. But truly orienting around them requires something more of us. When we look at a system that not just enables, but funds, supports, justifies and defends the actions of settler colonial violence, ethnic cleansing and a genocidal ethnostate that has perpetrated 76 years of ongoing Nakba, we must be clear with ourselves that this is not a system that can be reformed.

We must understand that as we sit in Berlin, Oslo, New York, Paris, with varying degrees of freedom of speech and freedom of assembly shrouded in the thin cloak of “democracy,” that we are demonstrating against the same system that holds us all captive. We are fighting the same forces of oppression and exploitation under western imperialism and capitalism that will come for every single one of us if and when we rise against it. And as such, we must internalize that our fighting for Palestinians and all other oppressed people is our fighting for our own people, our own families, our own comrades, ourselves – literally and figuratively, past and present, in the struggle of the masses against injustice over the vast expanse of time. 

The threat of our unity, the realization of our responsibility to each other in uprising, is the reason why Germany raids our homes in the early morning to intimidate us into silence, drags us through the media for fabricated antisemitism, deflects its historical atrocities onto the shoulders of an unrelated group of people in its obsessive attempt to achieve its status as an economic and world power once again. It is the reason why Norway, where I have also spent time within the movement for Palestine, makes superficial concessions to pacify its society and hinder momentum from within the nest of riches earned off of 110 billion krones of oil fund money invested in the criminal Zionist entity. Fueled by the effectiveness and organization of the respective ruling classes in stifling and eradicating dissent, the system revs with gusto, aiming to quash and capture us in its entrapments of violence and bigotry. 

Our solidarity from the belly of the beast requires of us that we heed the calls of the Palestinian resistance — for global disruption, for macro mobilization, and by orienting our organizing around a refusal to be distracted. It has been one year and 76 years of genocide, and it is our responsibility to be nothing short of consumed by a commitment to our principles in supporting the Palestinian people.

Eat and think of the people of Gaza. Drink and think of the brave resistance fighters struggling until their last breaths for justice and to liberate their land. Sleep with the knowledge that the fuel of rest is a privilege that we have a responsibility to use in organizing for Palestine and for all oppressed people around the world. Allow yourself to be changed and taught life by a people who understands what it means to live and to die for a cause.

And wake up with the understanding that organizing must begin with full clarity around the necessity of dismantling and composting the entire system, from Washington to Berlin to “Tel Aviv,” comprising the genocidal capitalist world order we live under. It must continue with unequivocal, uncompromising and unconditional support for the resistance by any means necessary. And it must ultimately lead to our answering the call of revolution from all corners of the globe, to say together in one voice: 

There is only one solution,

Intifada revolution.

 

عاشت المقاومة

عاشت فلسطين

Photo Gallery: Demonstration against Macron in Paris

Place de la Bastille, September 7th 2024